Emerging Role of Artificial Intelligence in Clinical Trials:

Enhancing Accuracy, Efficiency and Safety

 

Madhuri Sanjay Wable, Adsul Samruddhi Subhash, Omkar Bapurao Bramhane,

Bhand Revannath Narayan, Gayke Sanket Ramesh, Waghmare Sweeti Mohan

Shantiniketan College of Pharmacy, Dhotre, Maharashtra, India.

*Corresponding Author E-mail: ushaadsul99@gmail.com

 

ABSTRACT:

Clinical studies are increasingly using medical imaging. AI tools and imaging biomarker calculation are later incorporated in the clinical trial setting to decrease radiological reading times and provide objectivity to the assessment of new therapy response. Clinical trial risk assessment is increasingly using artificial intelligence (AI) to increase efficiency and safety. 142 papers published between 2013 and 2024 were examined in this scoping review, with an emphasis on operational (n = 45), efficacious (n = 46), and safety (n = 55) risk prediction. For tasks including phase transition prediction, treatment impact estimation, and adverse drug event prediction, artificial intelligence (AI) approaches such as causal machine learning, deep learning (e.g., transformers, graph neural networks), and classical machine learning are employed. These techniques make use of a variety of data sources, including patient information, scholarly articles, clinical trial protocols, and molecular structures. Applications for large language models (LLMs) have increased recently; in 2023, they were used in 7 out of 33 research. While some models achieve excellent performance (AUROC up to 96%), difficulties are still, including selection bias, limited prospective research, and data quality issues. Notwithstanding these drawbacks, AI-based risk assessment has a lot of potential to revolutionise clinical trials, especially by enhancing risk-based monitoring systems. The final half of the 1.5–2.0 billion USD, 10–15-year development cycle for a single new medicine is spent on clinical trials. As a result, a failed clinical trial costs between 800 million and 1.4 billion USD, including the preclinical development expenses in addition to the trial's investment. Only one out of ten compounds that enter a clinical trial make it to market, which is due to poor recruiting and patient cohort selection strategies as well as ineffective patient monitoring during trials. We describe how current developments in artificial intelligence (AI) can be applied to improve trial success rates by reshaping important clinical trial design phases.

 

KEYWORDS: Artificial Intelligence, Clinical Trials, Machine Learning Drug Development, Risk Assessment, Patient Recruitment.

 

 


 

INTRODUCTION:

A clinical trial is a systematic study involving human medicine1. Volunteers to assess the safety and efficacy  of a novel Clinical trials are a series of evaluations in medical research and medication development that produce safety and efficacy evidence for health interventions in humans2. Clinical trials are started only once adequate information has been obtained about the quality of non-clinical safety3. Approval from the health authority or ethics committee is obtained in the country where the drug's approval is requested4. Clinical trials are systematic investigations involving human subjects to determine the safety, efficacy, and therapeutic potential of new drugs or medical interventions. They represent a critical bridge between laboratory discoveries and real-world patient applications. Typically, clinical trials progress through four structured phases, each designed to assess different parameters such as safety, dosage optimization, therapeutic efficacy, and post-marketing surveillance. The successful completion of these stages ensures that new drugs are both safe and effective before being introduced to the market.Historically, the concept of controlled experimentation dates back to ancient times—King Nebuchadnezzar’s dietary study and James Lind’s 1747 scurvy experiment are early examples of clinical trials. Over the centuries, the development of regulatory frameworks and ethical guidelines, including the formation of the U.S. FDA (1906) and the adoption of randomized controlled trial designs (1920s–1940s), established the foundation for modern clinical research. Despite these advances, the traditional clinical trial model remains expensive, lengthy, and prone to inefficiencies. The average development cost for a single drug is between $1.5 and $2 billion, and only 10% of drug candidates entering clinical trials ultimately reach the market. The primary causes of failure include poor patient recruitment, inadequate trial design, and insufficient real-time monitoring.To address these limitations, Artificial Intelligence (AI)—encompassing machine learning, deep learning, and natural language processing—has become a critical tool for optimizing the clinical trial lifecycle. From automated imaging analysis to predictive modeling and patient selection, AI technologies are transforming how data are analyzed and decisions are made.Clinical trials are essential for the introduction of novel pharmaceuticals to the market (5).

 

History:

King Nebuchadnezzar carried out the first experiment that was ever recorded that resembled a clinical study6.

He commanded people to follow a diet of solely meat and alcohol because he thought it would keep them healthy7. Instead, he allowed the doubters to eat just water and beans for ten days, following which he would evaluate their health8. The king permitted the meat-loving folks to continue their diet after the studies were over since they seemed to be better fed than the required meat eaters9.

 

 

Fig no 1.1: British physician Dr. James Lind was  first to perform a parallel-arm medical experiment 10

 

 

May 20, 1747 – Scottish Physician James Lind conducted the first clinical study of the treatment of Scurvy on 12 Sailors

Lind discovered that of 6 therapies, oranges and lemons had the greatest positive effect on the sailor's health 11.

International Clinical Trials Day is celebrated on 20th May

·       In 1906: FDA was founded

·       In1923: concept of randomisation

·       In 1943: the UK Medical Research Councils (MRC) trial to treat the common cold is the first double blind controlled study

 

Tab No.1.1 : Historical Evolution of Clinical Trials

Year/Period

Milestone

Description

Ancient Era

King Nebuchadnezzar’s dietary trial

First documented controlled experiment

1747

James Lind’s scurvy trial

First systematic medical experiment

1906

Establishment of FDA

Regulation of drug safety begins

1923

Randomization introduced

Basis for modern trial methodology

1943

First double-blind study

MRC’s common cold trial

2000s Present

AI and digital integration

Data-driven and automated clinical trials

 

Types of clinical trials:

1.     Treatment Trials

2.     Prevention Trials

3.     Diagnostic Trials

4.     Screening Trials

5.     Quality of life trials

·       Drug review steps:

1.     Preclinical (animal) testing

2.     Investigational New Drug Application (IND)

3.     Phase 0 (Microdosing Study)

4.     Phase I (Human Pharmacology and Safety)

5.     Phase II (Therapeutic Exploration and Dose Ranging)

6.     Submission of New Drug Application (NDA) is the formal step asking the FDA to consider a drug for marketing approval

7.     FDA reviewers approve the application or find it either “approvable” or “not approvable”

8.     Phase IV (post marketing surveillance)

 

Preclinical Data

IND Filling

IND Approval

Phase I

Phase II

Phase III

NDA filled

NDA Approval

Marketing Permission

Phase IV

 

Fig1.Clinical Drug Development Phase

 

 

Phases of Clinical Trial

Exploratory CT’s

(Proof of Concept)

Phase 0

Phase 1

Phase 2

Development of CTs (Pre-marketing Phase Of Clinical Drug Development

Definitive CT’s

Phase 3

Post marketing Surveillance

 

 

Drug Review:

Extensive preclinical or laboratory research is necessary before testing in humans may begin12. Typically, research involves years of testing on human and animal cells13. If the testing is successful at this point, the sponsor gives the data to the FDA and asks for permission to start human testing14. An investigational new drug (NDA) application is what this is known as15. If authorised by the FDA, human testing is started using a properly documented and authorised prototype16.

 

 

Phases

Tab No 1.2 :Phases of Clinical Trials (with AI Opportunities)

Sr.

No.

Phase

Objective

Sample Size

AI Application Example

1

Phase 0

Microdosing, pharmacokinetics

<20

Predicting optimal drug candidates

2

Phase I

Safety and dosage

20–80

AI-based toxicity prediction

3

Phase II

Efficacy and side effects

100–300

Biomarker-based efficacy modeling

4

Phase III

Comparison with standard therapy

1,000+

AI-assisted patient stratification

5

Phase IV

Post-marketing surveillance

Thousands

Real-world adverse event prediction

 

 

Phase 0: Microdosing Phase 0 is the study of novel drugs in microdoses to determine PK information in humans prior to starting phase 1 research17. A microdose is less than one hundredth of the maximum dose of a test drug that is  determined to have a pharmacological effect, with a maximum dose of fewer than 100 micrograms18. The goal is to get first pharmacokinetic information19. Preclinical information: two routes of administration for a subacute toxicity study in a single species20.

 

Phase I: Initial phase of human subject testing Phase 1 trials are the initial phase of human subject testing21. A small (20–80) sample of healthy volunteers is often chosen22. Trials intended to evaluate a drug's safety, tolerability, pharmacokinetics, and pharmacodynamics are included in this phase23. To determine the right dose for therapeutic usage, phase 1 trials typically generally include dose range, also known as dose escalation studies24.

Phase II: Phase II trials are intended to determine whether a medication offers enough activity or promise of efficacy, or whether it offers an additional benefit, to justify additional research in a conclusive phase III trial. When practical, the same phase III endpoint or a validated surrogate endpoint, such as tumor response, time-to-event endpoint, or biomarker, could be used to evaluate efficacy in phase II trials25.Rapid assessment is a common characteristic of phase II primary endpoints26. The Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) has historically been employed as the primary goal for tumor response evaluation in single-arm phase II oncology trials including a single new cytotoxic drug27. The main indicator of effectiveness is frequently the objective response rate (ORR), which is the percentage of the best overall full partial responses28.

 

Phase III: Before seeking regulatory approval, a new medication or formulation is tested in a large group of patients in a phase 3 clinical study to verify its effectiveness, track side effects, and compare it to standard therapies. Phase III trials seek to determine which treatment is more effective for a specific kind of cancer and to learn more about its negative effects29. The impact of the treatment on individuals' quality of life

 

Standard therapy can be contrasted with:

An entirely new therapy various dosages of the same medication, which is essentially the same treatment and frequently a novel approach to administering a conventional treatment (radiotherapy, for instance)30.

Typically, a lot more patients participate in phase 3 trials than in phase 1 or 231. This is due to the possibility of slight variations in success rates. For the trial to demonstrate a difference, a large number of patients are required.

 

Phase IV: As the name implies, the phase 4 trial, also known as post-marketing surveillance, is carried out after the medication has been sold and made accessible to the general public32. The phase 4 trial's primary goals are to evaluate the medication's effectiveness in real-world situations, investigate the long-term risks and advantages of using it, and find any uncommon side effects33. Any uncommon or long-term effects of the medication can be seen in a phase 4 trial over a considerably longer time span and in a much bigger patient group34. The medication may be taken off the market and no longer prescribed if safety monitoring does in fact show issues with it35.

 

Role of AI in Clinical Trials

A. Imaging and Biomarkers :

AI-driven image processing reduces radiological reading times and enhances the accuracy of disease progression tracking. Deep learning models can detect subtle treatment effects and automate biomarker quantification.

B. Patient Recruitment and Cohort Selection:

AI simplifies and accelerates patient enrollment by analyzing electronic health records (EHRs), genetic data, and medical histories. Automated systems can identify eligible participants and predict dropout risks, reducing recruitment time by up to 90%.

 

C. Risk Assessment and Monitoring:

AI systems continuously assess patient data to predict adverse drug reactions and detect protocol deviations. Predictive algorithms improve the efficiency of Risk-Based Monitoring (RBM) systems, allowing early detection of anomalies and ensuring patient safety.

 

D. Predictive Modeling in Drug Development:

AI models can forecast trial outcomes, optimize dose selection, and even simulate trial scenarios (“digital twins”) to reduce unnecessary human trials.

 

E. Use of Large Language Models (LLMs):

Since 2023, LLMs like GPT-based systems have been employed for automated data extraction, protocol analysis, and regulatory documentation, significantly accelerating data management processes.

 

Tab No.1.3 : Advantages and Limitations

Sr No

Advantages

Limitations/Challenges

1

Faster data analysis

Selection bias                        

2

Reduced trial costs

Lack of standardized AI validation    

3

Enhanced patient safety  

Data privacy and security issues      

4

Improved recruitment     

Limited prospective real-world studies

5

Objective decision-making

Dependence on high-quality data       

 

Randomisation in clinical trials:

The method of allocating clinical trial participants to treatment groups is known as randomization36. Each participant has a known chance of being assigned to any group thanks to randomization. For randomization to be successful, group assignment must be unpredictable in advance.

The goal of randomization is to rule out the third scenario. Clinical trial statistics are based on the assumption that randomization was used and worked. Valid statistical interpretation of the raw results is made possible by successful randomization37.

 

 

 


 

 

 

 

 

Fig1.2: Methods of Randomisation

 

 

 


Evaluation of AI in clinical trials:

A pioneering project at Stanford in the 1970s, the MYCIN Project managed the creation of a method for identifying bacterial subtypes38. In diagnostic radiography, computer- aided diagnosis gained popularity as a "second opinion" or adjunct later in the 1980s39. These attempts persisted throughout the 1990s and 2000s, but computing was just too sluggish to carry them out40. Because artificial intelligence is developing so quickly, this technology is now more widely available. Deep convolutional neural networks (CNNs) were utilized for the automated classification of skin lesions in one study investigating the dermatologic-level classification of skin cancer. It was demonstrated that an AI image classification system could distinguish between benign seborrheic keratoses and keratinocyte carcinomas with performance (41) comparable to that of all evaluated experts.

 

Fig1.3: Artificial Intelligence in Data Analysis

 

Al in Patient Recruitment and Selection:

Three criteria may now be used to analyze AI's function and how it will improve the clinical trial design process: patient monitoring, cohort composition, and patient recruiting42. Patients may lose interest in continuing a clinical trial after they are chosen for it. AI systems can help with this by simplifying trial designs, automatically recommending trials, and automatically evaluating eligibility to improve the composition of patient cohorts43. An AI system was found to reduce the trial recruitment workload by 90% in research involving pediatric oncology patients. In addition to optimizing the cohort makeup, these automated procedures assemble the cohort considerably more quickly, which speeds up the recruitment process. The process of recruiting is very time-consuming and labor-intensive. As was previously said, AI technology can automate the screening process by validating and identifying patient eligibility44. The impact of real-time automated patient screening systems for clinical trial eligibility in the emergency room is examined in one study that was published in JMIR medical informatics45.

 

FUTURE PROSPECTS:

·       Integration of AI with blockchain for transparent data handling

·       Real-time adaptive clinical trials using continuous AI feedback

·       Personalized trial designs based on patient genomics

·       Collaboration between regulatory authorities and AI developers

·       Development of ethical frameworks for AI decision-making in healthcare

 

CONCLUSION:

Although the application of AI in CTs is still relatively new, the field is rapidly developing. We expect the range of applications to expand and the number of implementations to rise quickly as regulators offer more guidelines on the acceptability of AI in particular domains. Significant and continuous advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) guarantee that the technology will be able to significantly impact the critical phases of clinical trial design, from study planning to implementation, in order to increase trial success rates, reduce associated costs, and benefit the medical community by supporting human decision-makers. Artificial Intelligence is redefining the traditional landscape of clinical trials. By improving patient recruitment, optimizing trial design, and enhancing safety monitoring, AI not only reduces development costs but also accelerates the delivery of life-saving therapies. Despite challenges like bias and data quality, the continuous advancement of AI algorithms, coupled with regulatory adaptation, promises a new era of smart, data-driven, and ethical clinical research.

 

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Received on 13.11.2025      Revised on 08.12.2025

Accepted on 28.12.2025      Published on 15.04.2026

Available online from April 18, 2026

Asian J. Pharm. Res. 2026; 16(2):201-206.

DOI: 10.52711/2231-5691.2026.00030

©Asian Pharma Press All Right Reserved

 

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